A Look at Giving to the BGAV
by T. C. Pinckney Vol. XIV, No. 3, March 2001
In Southern Baptist polity every church makes its own decisions from the color of the
carpet to which pastor to call and how much money to give to what organizations. Because
of this autonomy it is difficult, if not impossible, for observers to know the exact
meaning of many changes. However, that is not the same as saying a pattern of changes over
an extended time has NO meaning. Though we may not know the precise reasons behind the
changes, their impact may be clear. And that is certainly true of budgetary trends.
The following tables show (Table 1) the number and percentage of churches enrolled in each BGAV giving track over the last ten years, and (Table 2) the total dollars given by all the churches in each track and the percentage that amount comprises of the grand total contributed. Three points in time are shown: 30 September 1994, 1998, and 2000. The end of September is ten months into the BGAV fiscal year and is just the date for which the data are available. Because of the ten-month spotlight, please keep in mind that the BGAV will have received another two months of donations by the end of its fiscal year. The figures were produced by the BGAV treasurer.
Table 1: Churches as of 30 September
#Change %
Track '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 93 to 00 in 00
WM1 273 165 233 255 273 293 280 280 289 307 +74 20.6%
WM2 1170 1255 1063 934 908 870 830 909 855 850 -213 57.0%
WM3 * * 81 127 143 150 152 151 144 150 +69 10.1%
ID>SBC** 95 118 168 202 199 189 146 134 203 185 +17 12.4%
ID<SBC** --
--
--
33 38
68 52 -- -- -- n/c 0%
Total 1538 1538
1545 1551 1561 1570 1460 1474 14911492
Table 2: Dollars: Number & Percentage
1994 1998 94-98 2000 94-00 %
$ Given % $ Given % Change $ Given % Change
WM1 *** 22.9% 3,100,232 26.7% + 3.8% 3,576,009 30.1% + 7.2%
WM2 44.1% 5,265,813 45.3% - 1.2% 4,700,040 39.7% - 4.4%
WM3 12.8% 1,997,862 17.2% + 4.4% 1,795,740 15.1% +2.3%
ID 20.2% 1,263,710 10.9% - 9.3% 1,805,466 15.2% - 5.0%
10 mo. total CP $11,627,617 $11,877,255
* WM3 was not available until 1993.
** ID>SBC = a local-church-designed plan that gives more to the SBC than the WM tracks.
ID<SBC = a local-church-designed plan that gives less to the SBC than the WM tracks.
*** Dollar amounts in '94 not available.
Some facts behind a few of the numbers may make them more meaningful. In 1994 as shown in the top table, 235 churches had individually designed plans. Of those, 202 designated more than 35% to the SBC, 33 specified less than 35% to the SBC. Obviously, the 202 were strongly loyal to the SBC, the 33 less so. Interestingly, the 134 churches with ID plans in 1998 and the 185 in 2000 ALL gave 40% or more to the SBC.
One of the more striking facts of these tables is the growing number of churches giving through WM1 (which favors the SBC) and the increasing (since 1998) number of ID plans ... all of them as designed by the local churches favoring the SBC. This is paralleled by a decrease in WM2 churches. Churches in WM3 grew from the first year of that track (1993) through 1997 but seem to have plateaued from then through 2000. ID churches increased considerably from '91 to '96 when they reached a total of 257 but have since decreased.
What can explain these changes?
-- Presumably the 68 liberal churches with ID plans in '96 giving less than 35% to the SBC moved to WM3 so that their money would go to the CBF, but this is an assumption. The process of more churches adopting the most liberal giving plan seems to have run its course, as the number has remained essentially constant over the last four years. Though there may be a few more in the future, it seems unlikely that there will be a large movement to that liberal budget track.
-- We know that approximately 245 of the more conservative churches have left the BGAV entirely and aligned with the SBCV, and another 55 or so have dually aligned with the SBCV. It seems evident that as these churches left ID plans or WM1, 84 others have moved from WM2 (the default plan) to either WM1 or ID. Such an important and often heart-rending movement depends upon the pastors and members of churches becoming well-informed on the real issues and penetrating the fog of misinformation or lack of information so prevalent. That educational process takes time, often a lot of time.
Clearly most of the churches in WM2 are likely to be smaller and probably less
prosperous. This can be seen in the fact that whereas WM2 churches comprised 60.2% of all
BGAV churches in '94, they gave only 44.1% of the dollars, and constituting 56.9% of BGAV
churches in '00 they gave 39.7%. Likewise, they tend to be less involved in denominational
matters because the pastor is either bi-vocational or the only staff member and has little
or no time to study issues or even become aware that they exist.
Implications for the Future: Although drawing conclusions from such partial information is at best subjective, nevertheless these data suggest that the Southern Baptist Conservatives of Virginia will continue to grow. Clearly all 307 churches in WM1 identify strongly with the SBC and it seems likely that many will at some point move their affiliation to the SBCV.
Similarly, the 185 churches with individually designed plans -- all of which give 40% or more to the SBC -- also identify with the SBC, if anything even more strongly than those in WM1. Consequently, these 185 churches may also join the SBCV over time.
Less obvious are the prospects for the 850 churches in WM2. However, a large percentage of small churches are theologically conservative. And as these churches recognize the true issue (biblical authority) and come to understand the directions the BGAV and SBCV are headed, it would not be surprising to see a continued decrease in the number of WM2 participants as more churches move to WM1, SBC-oriented individually designed plans, and subsequently to the SBCV, or even go directly to the SBCV without pausing in WM1 or an ID plan.
The impetus for SBC-oriented churches to leave the BGAV can only be heightened by actions such as last November's decision to cut funds going to out of state causes by an additional 2% and by rhetoric like the words of outgoing BGAV president Tom McCann (read his speech in "A Time to Decide" in the February Banner). While such words and acts may serve (1) a psychological need to lash back at the "right-wing fundamentalists" and (2) to temporarily counteract receipts that are shrinking as more churches leave the BGAV to align with the SBCV, in the longer term they do not hamper the SBC and will prove counterproductive by impelling more and more churches to join the SBCV. In short the BGAV and its strongest partisans appear to be its own worst enemies.